Japan Lobbies to Remove Myanmar From Global Financial Blacklist

Sara Lindqvist14:00 31.10.20266 min read

Japan is actively lobbying the Financial Action Task Force to remove Myanmar from its high-risk blacklist to facilitate easier business operations in the country. This move, reported on October 30, 2026, signals a shift by major powers toward engaging with the military-backed government following the 2021 coup. Such a change could reduce the intense financial scrutiny currently applied to all transactions involving the nation.

Japan is pushing for the removal of Myanmar from the Financial Action Task Force blacklist to assist economic recovery, according to The Japan Times.
Myanmar has been on the high-risk list since October 2022 due to failure to meet regulatory deadlines, per Reuters.
The United States held direct talks with the Myanmar military government in Naypyidaw last month, according to Reuters.

Why does Japan want Myanmar off the blacklist?

Removing Myanmar from the blacklist would ease the strict screening requirements that member nations must apply to financial transactions with the country. Currently, the Financial Action Task Force requires enhanced checks to prevent money laundering and terrorist financing. Japan believes that reducing these hurdles will make it easier for companies to operate and help the local economy recover.

Japanese businesses have maintained large-scale operations in Myanmar even as Western companies withdrew following the 2021 coup. A senior Japanese government official told The Japan Times that lifting these restrictions would allow various companies to expand their activities more easily. This economic reintegration appears to be a priority for Tokyo, which has historically avoided imposing the same economic sanctions used by Western nations.

What are the risks associated with Myanmar's finances?

The Financial Action Task Force maintains the list to monitor countries with significant gaps in their ability to stop illicit money flows. Since the military seized power in 2021, Myanmar has faced intense scrutiny over its role as a hub for scam centers and illegal financial activities. These concerns remain a primary reason why the country stays on the blacklist.

In a June evaluation, the Financial Action Task Force noted that while some progress has been made, Myanmar must urgently fix deficiencies in prosecuting money laundering. The watchdog also highlighted ongoing concerns regarding illegal financial activities linked to cybercrime. According to Reuters, the blacklist currently includes only three countries: Myanmar, Iran, and North Korea.

How do different governments view Myanmar's status?

International approaches to the Myanmar military government are diverging as some nations seek direct engagement. While many Western powers maintain strict isolation, Japan and the United States are exploring ways to communicate with the authorities in Naypyidaw. This shift could change how the region handles both security and commerce.

The United States held its highest-level contact with the military government since the coup during talks in the capital last month. These discussions focused on cracking down on scam centers but may also involve securing access to rare earth minerals. According to Reuters, Japan and at least one other major Asian nation are also pushing for the country's removal from the watchdog's list.

How each side tells it:

"held substantive discussions on ways to restore Myanmar's original role and rights within Asean"

The Myanmar foreign ministry stated regarding discussions between Philippines Foreign Secretary Theresa Lazaro and Foreign Minister Tin Maung Swe, as reported by The Star.

The Philippines, acting as the current chair of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, has focused on humanitarian aid and political access. During a recent two-day visit, Secretary Lazaro oversaw aid schemes in Shan State for people displaced by civil war. However, the visit did not result in a meeting with the detained democratic leader Aung San Suu Kyi.

What is the current political situation in Myanmar?

Myanmar remains in a state of internal conflict following the 2021 military coup that unseated the democratic government. The nation is currently split between the military-backed administration and various opposition forces. This instability has led to a civil war and significant displacement of the population.

Aung San Suu Kyi, the Nobel Peace Prize laureate, remains under house arrest in Naypyidaw. While authorities have allowed some limited contact with her recently, her status remains a major dispute for the 11-nation Asean bloc. For example, her son Kim Aris was allowed a 20-minute phone call last Thursday, which was his first spoken communication with her in over five years. According to The Star, Kim Aris told AFP that his mother sounded "fairly healthy" but expressed fear that she is being used as a political pawn.

Who is affected by the financial blacklist?

The blacklist primarily affects international businesses and financial institutions attempting to move money into or out of Myanmar. Because of the enhanced screening requirements, transactions are slow, expensive, and subject to intense scrutiny. This environment makes it difficult for legitimate humanitarian and commercial activities to proceed smoothly.

The Financial Action Task Force has previously clarified that while strict controls are necessary, they should not block funds for humanitarian aid or legal non-profit activities. However, for many companies, the complexity of complying with these rules acts as a barrier to entry. If Japan succeeds in its push, the cost and difficulty of doing business in the country would likely decrease.

What happens next?

The immediate focus rests on the Financial Action Task Force meeting in Paris. The watchdog was scheduled to announce the results of its meeting on October 30, 2026. Any changes to the blacklist, including the potential removal of Myanmar, would be revealed following the conclusion of these sessions.

It remains unclear if the removal will happen immediately. While Japan and other Asian nations are lobbying for change, the Financial Action Task Force must weigh these requests against the ongoing concerns regarding cybercrime and money laundering. Future discussions between the United States and Myanmar may also influence how the international community treats the military-led government.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Financial Action Task Force?
It is an international watchdog that monitors global efforts to prevent money laundering and the financing of terrorism. It maintains a list of high-risk countries that require enhanced financial scrutiny.

Why was Myanmar put on the blacklist?
Myanmar was added in October 2022 because it failed to meet specific deadlines for fixing flaws in its financial regulatory systems. The group remains concerned about illicit finance and scam centers in the country.

How would removal from the list help Japan?
It would reduce the strictness of financial checks on transactions involving Myanmar. This would make it easier and more efficient for Japanese companies to conduct business there.

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Robot Race

Chinese Markets Surge as Investors Target Humanoid Robot Stocks

China's stock markets saw a surge on the morning of November 10, 2026, as investors poured capital into technology sectors, specifically driving the growth of the humanoid robot industry. The ChiNext Index climbed 1.49% by midday, reflecting a broader recovery in high-growth tech stocks across the country's major exchanges. The ChiNext Index rose 1.49% by midday on November 10, according to finance.biggo.com . Combined turnover for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached CNY 96.03 billion, or approximately $14.4 billion, for the half-day session, as reported by finance.biggo.com . China's total goods trade import and export value grew 20% year-on-year during the first ten months of the year, according to finance.sina.com.cn . Why are tech stocks rising so quickly? The rapid rise in technology stocks is driven by a rotation of market themes and improving investor sentiment. While some sectors like oil and gas saw declines, capital rebalanced into growth-oriented industries. This shift indicates that investors are once again willing to price in future growth for advanced technology companies. According to finance.biggo.com , the movement reflects a recovery in short-term risk appetite. The market is moving away from resource sectors and toward high-tech themes. This rebalancing helps explain why the ChiNext and STAR Composite indexes outperformed the broader Shanghai Composite during the morning session. Market analysts suggest that liquidity is a major factor. Huachuang Securities noted that improving macro and micro liquidity is driving valuation repair. They also pointed to the fact that market reactions to negative news have become more muted following the U.S. midterm elections. How is the robotics sector performing? The robotics sector emerged as the strongest theme during the morning session. More than a dozen companies involved in the production of advanced automated machines reached their daily price limits. This surge suggests that investors see significant potential in the next phase of physical artificial intelligence. Specific companies saw massive gains. finance.biggo.com reported that Guangyang Bearing, Fenglong Co., Ltd., and Huapei Power each achieved a second consecutive limit-up. Additionally, Zhejiang Fulai New Material recorded its third limit-up in just five days. The scale of the movement is notable. finance.sina.com.cn noted that Unitree Technology's stock price doubled from its October 15 low to its midday high on November 10. This volatility highlights the intense interest in the hardware required for next-generation machines. Experts are watching how these machines move from testing to real-world use. China Galaxy Securities observed that the industry is entering a period of triple testing involving financial reports, scenario validation, and capital re-pricing. They stated that these machines are now crossing the threshold of being accepted in factory environments. Is this a repeat of the 2015 market crash? While the current decline in the ChiNext Index might look alarming, the underlying financial health of the market is much stronger than it was during the 2015 crash. Current valuations are significantly lower, and the amount of debt used to buy stocks is much smaller. The ChiNext Index has fallen 28.2% from its June 25 peak over the last 66 trading days. According to seekingalpha.com , this is much less severe than the 49.7% decline seen during the same period in 2015. The market is also less risky because margin buying is only 9% of turnover, compared to 17-18% in 2015. Valuation metrics also show a safer environment. seekingalpha.com reported that the trailing P/E ratio at this year's peak was approximately 35.8 times. This is a massive difference from the 2015 peak, when the ratio reached 137.9 times. What are the key market drivers? Three main factors are supporting a potential year-end rebound for Chinese growth stocks. These include improved liquidity, falling U.S. Treasury yields, and record inflows into broad-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These elements combine to create a more favorable environment for high-tech investments. As finance.biggo.com stated, the retreat of real rates and inflation expectations in the U.S. has eased external financial conditions. This makes it easier for capital to flow into emerging markets like China. Furthermore, market-stabilization policies are transitioning into long-term institutional safeguards. The hardware sector remains a primary focus for professional investors. CITIC Securities noted that while technology sector allocations dropped from their second-quarter highs, hardware remains a core area of interest. They suggested that investors should focus on AI applications and physical AI opportunities. Who is involved in these market shifts? The movement involves a mix of massive asset managers, government agencies, and specialized technology firms. Large institutional players are navigating the volatility, while government data provides the broader context for the country's economic strength. Major players include China Asset Management Company (ChinaAMC), which manages RMB 3.15 trillion in assets. On the regulatory side, the General Administration of Customs released data showing that China's goods trade grew 20% in the first ten months of the year. This data, reported by finance.sina.com.cn , underscores the underlying economic activity. In the pharmaceutical sector, WuXi AppTec received a significant update. According to finance.sina.com.cn , the U.S. Department of Defense decided to remove the company from its 1260H list on November 9, 2026. This move removes a specific source of negative pressure for the company. What happens next for investors? Investors will likely focus on the upcoming earnings season to see if the "physical AI" and robotics hype matches actual financial performance. The ability of companies to deliver real-world orders and continuous factory data will be the deciding factor for future stock prices. Analysts are looking for specific signals in the coming weeks. Huachuang Securities believes the ChiNext and STAR indexes still have 20% to 30% of recovery room left. Meanwhile, Huaan Securities expects large-cap AI hardware names to potentially gain between 20% and 40% during the late-stage rally phase of the current cycle. The focus will remain on companies that can prove their technology works in large-scale deployments. China Galaxy Securities noted that the industry must now pass the test of scenario validation, moving from single pilot projects to full-scale industrial deployment. FAQ Why are Chinese tech stocks rising? Rising liquidity and a shift in investor interest toward growth sectors like AI and robotics are driving the rally. Improved market sentiment following U.S. elections also plays a role. Is the robotics sector a major part of this rally? Yes, the robotics concept has emerged as a leading theme, with many constituent stocks hitting their daily price limits on November 10. How does this compare to the 2015 market crash? The current market is much more stable, with significantly lower valuations and less investor leverage than during the 2015 downturn.

Kenji Arai·18:00 10.11.2026

South Asia

Building Resilience: How the Sri Lanka Economy is Shifting Toward Stability

Why is the Sri Lanka economy shifting toward resilience? President Anura Kumara Dissanayake announced on October 23, 2025, that the nation is prioritizing a structural shift to protect the Sri Lanka economy from global volatility. This move follows a period of extreme instability and aims to prevent a repeat of the 2022 collapse by building defenses against external shocks. The strategy focuses on moving away from a reliance on luck and toward a system capable of absorbing international crises. What caused the previous economic collapse? The crisis was driven by an inability to generate enough revenue and a failure to secure necessary foreign exchange. These two factors created a massive funding gap that left the state unable to meet its basic financial obligations to citizens and creditors. According to News 1st , Anura Kumara Dissanayake identified two primary triggers. First, the government could not produce sufficient revenue, which forced the state to print money or borrow from the banking system. By 2022 , the Treasury account was operating with an overdraft of nearly Rs. 700 billion , according to News 1st . The second trigger involved a lack of foreign currency. The country struggled to earn the dollars required to sustain its economy. This vulnerability meant that when external pressures arrived, the state lacked the reserves to manage them, leading to the unprecedented hardship experienced by the population. How has the financial position changed recently? The nation has seen a significant turnaround in its external financial position through improved current account balances. While historical successes were small, recent figures show a much larger surplus that provides a buffer against instability. According to News 1st , 2025 marked a major shift. Throughout the country's history, there were only three occasions where a positive current account balance was recorded, totaling roughly US$300 million . In contrast, the country recorded a current account surplus of approximately US$1.8 billion in 2025 , according to News 1st . The Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka (IPS) provides additional context on growth. The IPS reports that real GDP growth reached 5% in both 2024 and 2025 . Growth continued into the first half of 2026 at a rate of 4.7% , according to the IPS . This follows a period where inflation moderated and external debt restructuring progressed. What external threats still exist? Global conflicts and energy price volatility remain the primary threats to stability. These external factors can drive up the cost of essential imports and drain the foreign currency reserves that the country has worked to rebuild. The conflict in the Middle East has placed pressure on energy costs, according to News 1st . The President noted that the country spent approximately US$4 billion on oil imports during all of last year. However, that same amount of US$4 billion had already been spent by the end of August 2025 , according to News 1st . If this trend holds, annual oil costs could exceed US$6 billion . Beyond energy, the IPS warns that climate-related disruptions pose risks. Recent events, including Cyclone Ditwah , have highlighted the need for better disaster preparedness. These shocks can impact the tourism industry and reduce the foreign remittances sent home by workers abroad, according to News 1st . How does the labor market affect stability? A large portion of the workforce operates without formal protections, which weakens the overall economic foundation. This reliance on informal employment makes the population more vulnerable to economic shifts and limits the benefits of growth. According to the IPS , two-thirds of Sri Lankan workers remain in the informal sector. This situation highlights persistent weaknesses in job quality and employment security. The IPS argues that the country must address skills shortages and productivity gaps to ensure growth is sustainable. To fix this, the IPS suggests that the nation must move away from debt-financed spending and import-intensive consumption. Instead, the country needs to attract private investment and develop a more competitive export sector. Strengthening the labor market through better social protection is a key requirement for long-term stability, according to the IPS . How does each side view the path forward? The government and policy researchers both agree that resilience is necessary, but they focus on different aspects of the solution. The government emphasizes shielding the state from external shocks, while researchers focus on internal structural reforms. The government's position focuses on macro-stability and shielding the country from global volatility. Anura Kumara Dissanayake stated his intent to build a system that can absorb outside pressure. "We must build an economy that can withstand shocks coming from outside our borders. That is exactly what we are planning to do," said Anura Kumara Dissanayake , President of Sri Lanka. The IPS position focuses on the domestic workforce and productivity. The IPS argues that long-term ambitions depend on reforms that improve productivity and ensure economic benefits are shared broadly. They advocate for investments in renewable energy, food systems, and infrastructure to reduce vulnerability. What happens next? The government will continue to manage the pressure on the dollar while trying to maintain stability. The IPS report, Sri Lanka: State of the Economy 2026: Policy Choices for Durable Growth , provides a roadmap for these reforms. Policymakers face the immediate task of managing oil import costs, which are trending toward US$6 billion annually. The country must also address the high rate of informal employment. Future stability will depend on whether the state can successfully implement the IPS recommendations regarding trade, fiscal management, and human capital development. Frequently Asked Questions Why did Sri Lanka face an economic crisis? The crisis was caused by the government's inability to generate enough revenue and a lack of foreign exchange to pay for imports, according to Anura Kumara Dissanayake . Is the Sri Lankan economy growing now? Yes, the IPS reported real GDP growth of 5% in 2024 and 2025 , with 4.7% growth in the first half of 2026 . What are the main risks to the recovery? External shocks like Middle East conflicts, rising oil costs, and climate-related disruptions like Cyclone Ditwah pose major risks, according to the IPS and News 1st .

Arjun Mehta·19:50 23.10.2026

China & Taiwan

EU and China Meet to Stabilize the US-China Trade Relationship

Trade negotiators from the European Union and China are preparing for a high-stakes meeting in Beijing on October 8 and 9 to address deep-seated economic imbalances. This meeting serves as the first major test for the newly established EU-China Trade and Investment Consultations Mechanism (TIC), which seeks to stabilize the us-china trade relationship and its ripple effects on European markets. The outcome of these talks will determine if the two powers can manage growing friction or if they are drifting toward a full-scale trade war. The European Union recorded a goods trade deficit of approximately €360 billion with China in 2025, according to The Conversation . China's exports grew by 25 percent in August 2026, according to CSIS . European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated the trade deficit has reached a "tipping point," according to The Conversation . Why is the trade deficit causing tension? The economic gap between the two regions has reached levels that European leaders describe as unsustainable. This imbalance is driven by structural differences in how both economies function, particularly regarding industrial policy and state support. As China maintains a high-production model, European industries face intense pressure from lower-cost imports. The scale of the disparity is massive. The Conversation reports that Ursula von der Leyen estimated the trade deficit at €1 billion every single day. This gap is not just a number; it represents a fundamental struggle over market access and the future of European manufacturing. European sectors, especially the automotive industry, are feeling the direct impact. The Conversation notes that Chinese electric vehicle brands are gaining market share by offering more affordable models. This competition is creating instability for major players like Volkswagen , which has already planned to cut tens of thousands of jobs across Europe. How does China view the overcapacity claims? Beijing rejects the notion that its industrial strength is a threat to global stability. Instead, the Chinese government views its production levels as an opportunity for the global green transition. The country has released official documents to systematically dismantle the arguments made by Western trading partners. According to CSIS , China's official position argues that overcapacity is a common historical phenomenon and not a uniquely Chinese problem. Beijing maintains that governments everywhere support strategic industries, citing the United States' CHIPS and Science Act and European state-aid mechanisms as evidence of global subsidy trends. China also views these international concerns as a pretext for protectionism. CSIS reports that Beijing's recent position paper signals that its current growth model is not up for negotiation. The government sees measures aimed at reducing dependence on Chinese manufacturing as direct challenges to its long-term prosperity. How each side tells it The two powers hold fundamentally different interpretations of the current economic friction. While Brussels focuses on market fairness, Beijing focuses on its right to industrial development. The European Union position: The EU views the current situation as a matter of unfair competition. According to The Conversation , the EU has asked China to introduce voluntary export restraints to help balance the trade relationship and protect local industries from being overwhelmed by subsidized goods. The Chinese position: Beijing views Western criticisms as discriminatory. As reported by Sohu , Chinese experts argue that the EU is focusing on "de-risking" and subsidy reviews while ignoring the complexity of trade imbalances. China contends that its industrial rise lowers costs and accelerates technological access for the rest of the world. What are the risks of escalation? Both sides are currently caught in a cycle of trying to protect economic interests while fearing a retaliatory spiral. The relationship is facing an existential test that could lead to a permanent state of managed friction or a sudden trade war. China has already begun moving away from traditional diplomatic restraint toward more assertive actions. CSIS reports that Beijing has used rare earth export licenses as leverage and imposed sanctions on 14 European entities in July. These moves were a response to EU sanctions against Chinese entities related to the conflict in Russia. On the European side, the challenge is internal unity. CSIS explains that Brussels often shows restraint because it is difficult to act decisively within a union of 27 member states with diverging interests. Any major trade defense measure requires significant political capital that is not always available. What is the role of the new TIC mechanism? The EU-China Trade and Investment Consultations Mechanism (TIC) was launched in June to provide a formal channel for dialogue. It aims to move disagreements from the battlefield of tariffs into a structured, rules-based environment. The TIC operates through four specific working streams: trade and investment balancing, export controls, intellectual property rights, and World Trade Organization reform. The Conversation suggests that even if the sides cannot agree on the trade deficit, the WTO reform track might offer a pragmatic way to keep the dialogue alive. The upcoming October meeting is the first real test of whether this mechanism can actually stabilize relations. If the negotiators fail to find common ground on the most pressing issues, the TIC may struggle to prevent the relationship from sliding into legal confrontation. What happens next? The immediate focus is on the upcoming high-level negotiations in Beijing. These talks will determine if the TIC can move beyond routine discussions to deliver concrete results. The second meeting of the TIC is scheduled for October 8 and 9 . Negotiators will attempt to address the massive trade deficit and explore whether voluntary export restraints or increased Chinese purchases of European products can bridge the gap. The results of these talks will likely set the tone for the remainder of the year. Beyond the October deadline, the long-term stability of the relationship depends on whether both sides can find a way to coexist despite their different economic models. The world will be watching to see if the TIC can transform consensus into predictable, lasting arrangements. Frequently Asked Questions Will the EU and China enter a trade war? While tensions are high, experts suggest escalation is not inevitable. The existence of the TIC mechanism is intended to manage friction and avoid a full-scale conflict. Why is the trade deficit such a problem for Europe? The deficit has reached roughly €1 billion per day, which threatens European industries like automotive manufacturing by allowing cheaper Chinese imports to dominate the market. What is China's main argument regarding overcapacity? China argues that its industrial production is an opportunity for the green transition and that claims of unfair subsidies are exaggerated compared to the support provided by Western nations.

Elena Marsh·07:00 28.10.2026